Tokyo Verdyvs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 4-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Original prediction
Tokyo Verdy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.8% | 45.9% | -22.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.2% | 26.2% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 7.58 | 12.0% | 27.8% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20