Tokyo Verdyvs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Original prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.76 | 13.8% | 10.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 21.1% | 18.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 65.1% | 70.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Projected Score
Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80