Tokyo Verdyvs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/3/2026, 5:03:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tokyo Verdy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
12.3%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40