Tokyo Verdyvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Kashima
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.81 | 19.4% | 27.7% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27.0% | 26.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 53.6% | 45.8% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tokyo VerdyWDLDL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaWWWWW
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tokyo VerdyKashima
22.2Attack100.0
55.6Defence33.3
22.2Form100.0
36.4Power83.3
1.24xG1.66