Tokyo Verdyvs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 1-1 JEF United Chiba
Original prediction
Tokyo Verdy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.7% | 47.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 29.0% | 26.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 29.3% | 25.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40