Tokyo Verdyvs
FC Tokyo
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 FC Tokyo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 0-4 FC Tokyo
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.99 | 18.8% | 11.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.6% | 20.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 55.6% | 67.6% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Projected Score
Tokyo Verdy 0–2 FC Tokyo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tokyo VerdyLDLLD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoLWWWW
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
14.8Attack63.0
48.1Defence70.4
14.8Form74.1
29.7Power68.9
0.50xG1.94