Tokushima Vortisvs
Vanraure Hachinohe
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokushima Vortis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokushima Vortis 0-1 Vanraure Hachinohe
Original prediction
Tokushima Vortis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.9% | 54.0% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.2% | 27.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.0% | 18.1% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Tokushima Vortis 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Tokushima Vortis
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Tokushima Vortis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40