Tokushima Vortisvs
Imabari
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokushima Vortis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Imabari, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Imabari
Original prediction
Tokushima Vortis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.4% | 43.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.4% | 29.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.2% | 26.8% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Tokushima Vortis 1–0 Imabari
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tokushima Vortis
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Tokushima Vortis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80