Tokushima Vortisvs
FC Tokushima
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokushima Vortis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokushima Vortis 3-0 FC Tokushima
Original prediction
Tokushima Vortis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 83.3% | 49.5% | -33.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.94 | 11.6% | 24.3% | 12.8 pts |
| Away | 18.01 | 5.1% | 26.1% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tokushima Vortis
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Tokushima Vortis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00