Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toktogul · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Toktogul are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Asiagoal are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.7 against 40.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Premier League, while Toktogul holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toktogul
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
14.7%
Toktogul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20