TOŠK Tešanjvs
Stupčanica Olovo
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stupčanica Olovo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TOŠK Tešanj 2-0 Stupčanica Olovo
Original prediction
Stupčanica Olovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.8% | 21.1% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 24.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.6% | 54.7% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Stupčanica Olovo
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Stupčanica Olovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80