Étoile Carougevs
Yverdon Sport
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/9/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Étoile Carouge 0-1 Yverdon Sport, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Étoile Carouge 0-2 Yverdon Sport
Original prediction
Yverdon Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.2% | 21.8% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.0% | 26.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.8% | 51.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Étoile Carouge 0–1 Yverdon Sport
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Yverdon Sport
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20