Étoile Carougevs
Rapperswil
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Étoile Carouge 2-1 Rapperswil
Original prediction
Étoile Carouge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.6% | 49.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Étoile Carouge
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20