Étoile Carougevs
Rapperswil
SCHEDULEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Étoile Carouge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rapperswil are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Challenge League, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Étoile Carouge
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
11.0%
Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00