GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Étoile Carouge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rapperswil are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Challenge League, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Étoile Carouge

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

11.0%

Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Étoile CarougeLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RapperswilLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Étoile CarougeRapperswil
44.4Attack66.7
77.8Defence11.1
44.4Form33.3
54.9Power40.3
1.96xG1.27
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