Étoile Carougevs
FC WIL 1900
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Étoile Carouge 1-1 FC WIL 1900
Original prediction
Étoile Carouge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.1% | 52.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.9% | 23.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.9% | 23.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Étoile Carouge
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40