Étoile Carougevs
Chênois
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Étoile Carouge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chênois are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Étoile Carouge
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
7.8%
Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60