GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Étoile Carouge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chênois are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Étoile Carouge

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

7.8%

Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Étoile CarougeLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChênoisWDWDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Étoile CarougeChênois
88.9Attack66.7
38.9Defence16.7
83.3Form50.0
73.5Power47.8
3.12xG1.69
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