Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Togo U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Togo U23 0-0 Libya U23, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Togo U23 1-1 Libya U23
Original prediction
Togo U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.3% | 38.7% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 32.0% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.4% | 29.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Projected Score
Togo U23 0–0 Libya U23
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Togo U23
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Togo U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Togo U23No completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Libya U23No completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Togo U23Libya U23
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64