Todesfeldevs
Weiche Flensburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiche Flensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 1-5 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Todesfelde 0-4 Weiche Flensburg
Original prediction
Weiche Flensburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.19 | 17.4% | 13.7% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.52 | 16.3% | 14.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 66.3% | 71.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.1–59%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Weiche Flensburg
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20