Tochigi SCvs
Renofa Yamaguchi
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renofa Yamaguchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tochigi SC 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi SC 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi
Original prediction
Renofa Yamaguchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.1% | 23.1% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.6% | 26.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.3% | 50.4% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Tochigi SC 0–1 Renofa Yamaguchi
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Renofa Yamaguchi
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Renofa Yamaguchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60