Tochigi SCvs
Matsumoto Yamaga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi SC 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga
Original prediction
Tochigi SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.7% | 40.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 29.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.8% | 30.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi SC
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Tochigi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40