Tochigi SCvs
Kochi United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi SC 2-0 Kochi United
Original prediction
Tochigi SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.3% | 50.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 25.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.4% | 24.3% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi SC
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Tochigi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20