Tochigi SCvs
Biwako Shiga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biwako Shiga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi SC 1-0 Biwako Shiga
Original prediction
Biwako Shiga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.6% | 36.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 25.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 37.9% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Biwako Shiga
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Biwako Shiga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60