Tochigi Cityvs
Vegalta Sendai
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi City 1-3 Vegalta Sendai
Original prediction
Tochigi City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 27.0% | 39.3% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 25.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.4% | 34.9% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi City
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Tochigi City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00