Tochigi Cityvs
Imabari
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi City 1-2 Imabari
Original prediction
Tochigi City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.6% | 49.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 25.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.7% | 25.0% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi City
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Tochigi City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80