Tochigi Cityvs
Fujieda MYFC
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fujieda MYFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tochigi City 2-2 Fujieda MYFC
Original prediction
Fujieda MYFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.3% | 35.9% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 26.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.4% | 37.8% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Fujieda MYFC
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Fujieda MYFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00