GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tocantinópolis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Águia de Marabá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

10.0%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TocantinópolisLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Águia de MarabáDLWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TocantinópolisÁguia de Marabá
60.0Attack59.5
40.0Defence59.5
40.0Form57.1
45.9Power58.9
1.50xG2.03
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