Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaiyq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tobol 2 4-1 Jaiyq
Original prediction
Jaiyq
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Jaiyq
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tobol 2DWWLL
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JaiyqDDLWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tobol 2Jaiyq
61.1Attack30.6
15.3Defence62.5
23.6Form44.4
34.0Power47.8
1.45xG1.52