Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tobol 2 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Astana II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
7.2%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80