1. Division1. Division
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Tobol 2

Tobol 2

Home
LLD
55
Full time
Aktobe Jas

Aktobe Jas

Away
DWD
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Tobol 2(48%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Tobol 2
48%
Draw
25%
Aktobe Jas
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tobol 2
83
Aktobe Jas
98
Defence
Tobol 2
6
Aktobe Jas
11
Momentum
Tobol 2
11
Aktobe Jas
56
Danger (xG)
Tobol 2
2.10
Aktobe Jas
3.30
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Tobol 2)
2.10
avg per match
xG for (Aktobe Jas)
3.30
avg per match
xG against (Tobol 2)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Aktobe Jas)
2.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tobol 2Tobol 2
LLDL
Aktobe JasAktobe Jas
DWDL

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Tobol 248%
Draw25%
Aktobe Jas27%

Tobol 2 leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tobol 2 head into this in 1. Division fixture in mixed form (LLD), while Aktobe Jas arrive in mixed form (DWD). Tobol 2 have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Aktobe Jas over 3 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Tobol 2 (83/100) and Aktobe Jas (98/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Tobol 2 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 2.7 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per home match. Aktobe Jas have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 4.3 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 10.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Tobol 2 to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Tobol 2 4825%, Draw 2465%, Aktobe Jas 2710%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Tobol 2 0Draws 10 Aktobe Jas
Avg goals: 10.0BTTS in 1/1
2 Jul 2026
Tobol 2
D55
Aktobe Jas

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tobol 2 vs Aktobe Jas?

GoalVio's model predicts Tobol 2 to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tobol 2 vs Aktobe Jas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Tobol 2 vs Aktobe Jas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tobol 2 vs Aktobe Jas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more