TlaxcalavsVenados FC

Tlaxcala are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.