Tlaxcalavs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/22/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60