GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/22/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TlaxcalaVenados FC
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
18.3Power53.2
1.46xG2.04
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