TlaxcalavsTepatitlán

Tlaxcala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tlaxcala hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tlaxcala holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.