TlaxcalavsTepatitlán

Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tlaxcala hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tlaxcala holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.