GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/3/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (24.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TlaxcalaMineros de Zacatecas
41.7Attack100.0
8.3Defence41.7
8.3Form66.7
24.1Power68.8
1.40xG2.44
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