TlaxcalavsLeones Negros UDG

Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.