TlaxcalavsLeones Negros UDG

Tlaxcala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.