GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/4/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaCorrecaminos Uat
33.3Attack91.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
18.3Power62.0
1.43xG2.30
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