TlaxcalavsCimarrones

Tlaxcala are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Cimarrones are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.