Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00