GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TlaxcalaAtlante FC
33.3Attack48.4
0.0Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
18.3Power63.9
0.69xG1.79
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