GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/8/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaAtlante FC
33.3Attack48.4
0.0Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
18.3Power63.9
0.69xG1.79
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