GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/29/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tlaxcala are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TlaxcalaLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Atlante FCWWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
TlaxcalaAtlante FC
33.3Attack48.4
0.0Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
18.3Power63.9
0.69xG1.79
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