TlaxcalavsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Tlaxcala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.