TlaxcalavsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.