Tivoli Gardensvs
Racing United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/12/2026, 10:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tivoli Gardens 3-4 Racing United
Original prediction
Racing United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.0% | 34.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 28.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.6% | 37.2% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Racing United
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Racing United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00