Tivoli Gardensvs
Dunbeholden
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tivoli Gardens · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tivoli Gardens 3-0 Dunbeholden
Original prediction
Tivoli Gardens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 09:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.0% | 56.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 23.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.1% | 19.9% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Tivoli Gardens
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Tivoli Gardens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60