GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/18/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tiverton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Tiverton Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tiverton Town

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Tiverton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tiverton TownWinchester City
50.8Attack50.0
41.3Defence46.8
41.3Form45.2
46.1Power48.2
1.74xG1.64
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