GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/30/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tiverton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Tiverton Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tiverton Town

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Tiverton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownLLLDW

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon SupermarineLLDLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tiverton TownSwindon Supermarine
50.8Attack57.9
41.3Defence27.0
41.3Form38.9
46.1Power42.8
2.43xG1.87
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