GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/7/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Poole Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownPoole Town
50.8Attack33.3
41.3Defence66.7
41.3Form50.0
46.1Power53.0
1.53xG1.57
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