Tiverton Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tiverton Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60