GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tiverton TownMerthyr Town
50.8Attack67.5
41.3Defence53.2
41.3Form53.2
46.1Power57.2
1.50xG2.27
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