Tiverton Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/30/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20