GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/30/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tiverton TownWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownDDWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownMerthyr Town
50.8Attack67.5
41.3Defence53.2
41.3Form53.2
46.1Power57.2
1.50xG2.27
View match centre →